Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.306150 10.949324 12.759260 14.895489 17.342327 20.051625 23.272733
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.814169 8.926215 11.473264 14.749506 18.827952 23.712012 29.974950
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.387936 7.737055 10.795376 15.019598 20.645605 27.816472 37.572319
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.321380 6.736292 10.100210 15.042872 22.016451 31.383142 44.766789
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.548648 5.959707 9.528643 15.067491 23.285227 34.832112 52.033465
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.829699 5.107121 8.680034 14.518902 23.597001 36.893064 57.466683
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.388381 4.601505 8.259694 14.518087 24.655947 40.047809 64.653900
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.032300 4.167015 7.874133 14.493448 25.630205 43.104292 71.878460
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.871406 4.048938 7.993596 15.296999 27.981732 48.436997 82.954012
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.708309 3.894596 8.020173 15.928223 30.084000 53.507784 93.949385
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.578019 3.780117 8.097977 16.646296 32.380634 59.039476 106.037304
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.380614 3.488936 7.796489 16.622299 33.351909 62.407815 114.757308
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.138199 3.057985 7.167861 15.920146 33.062900 63.663574 120.130493
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.947378 2.704717 6.643568 15.352805 32.958756 65.221416 126.124752
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.839681 2.528778 6.469288 15.469616 34.163139 69.191714 136.601171
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.735736 2.339658 6.235940 15.429379 35.044766 72.620082 146.311471
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.648608 2.175715 6.034369 15.429232 35.997690 76.234322 156.571851
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.542404 1.932633 5.603851 14.859298 35.706239 77.435718 162.396875
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.479622 1.801775 5.429673 14.854641 36.605261 81.002446 172.900576
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.423923 1.678992 5.256215 14.827987 37.447599 84.502951 183.471796
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.408435 1.683367 5.421955 15.647252 40.238120 92.112480 202.500497
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.386766 1.662013 5.513891 16.290962 42.680633 99.151691 220.767773
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.369370 1.651798 5.635693 17.023345 45.384193 106.890236 240.834468